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#1
12-18-06, 01:27 AM
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I agree with the logic behind this, of course, but my question is where are you coming up with the 1 in 8 flops thing?
Do you really think that 72s flops 2 pair or better 1 in 8 times? It can't flop a straight and any "draw" that it flops, I wouldn't consider outflopping AA, with the possible exception being an open ended straight draw around the 7 (456, 568, 689, 89T) WITH two hearts, but even then, it's not exactly a big favorite. |
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#2
12-18-06, 07:22 AM
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72s vs AA , the 72s is approx a 16% or 17% favorite preflop (depending if one of the aces is the same suit as the 72s), which means roughly 1 out of every 6 times the 72 will win. That is with all 5 cards out however, so reduced to account for the times it outflops AA, it'd probably be closer to 1 in 9 rather than 1 in 8 (that would be some low cards with straight possibilities also)... regardless it doesnt matter. 72 could win as little as 1 in every 12 times and still come out ahead and make the preflop call +EV
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