![]() |
|
#1
|
||||
|
||||
![]()
And how many of you get off AA in that spot, EVER?
All I can wish for is that you all catch a run of luck like myself and Bdawg have had. Perhaps, maybe then, you would understand. Otherwise, plz ban me.
__________________
If aces didn't get cracked they would be writing books about me! |
#2
|
||||
|
||||
![]()
The thing you need to remember is that the good players reading this wouldn't have gotten themselves in that spot... EVER.
|
#3
|
||||
|
||||
![]()
Precisely the reason that opponent would be wrong to fold any two cards to your reraise. In the longrun he wins 3255 1 out of 8 times and loses 280 7 out of 8 times for a net profit of 3255 - 1960 = 1295 chips.
Yes , in the longrun opponent wins 1295 chips and you lose 1295 chips No I wouldn't have gotten off aces in this spot, but like TP already said, I would have never been in this spot because when I reraised I would have bumped it up to 1200. If he calls and outflops me, he gets the rest of my stack in all likelihood, but at least Im making him make a mistake, rather than making the mistake myself
__________________
"Most of the money you'll win at poker comes not from the brilliance of your own play, but from the ineptitude of your opponents." |
#4
|
||||
|
||||
![]() Well said. ![]()
__________________
3rd Grade Reading Level! |
#5
|
||||
|
||||
![]()
I agree with the logic behind this, of course, but my question is where are you coming up with the 1 in 8 flops thing?
Do you really think that 72s flops 2 pair or better 1 in 8 times? It can't flop a straight and any "draw" that it flops, I wouldn't consider outflopping AA, with the possible exception being an open ended straight draw around the 7 (456, 568, 689, 89T) WITH two hearts, but even then, it's not exactly a big favorite. |
#6
|
||||
|
||||
![]()
72s vs AA , the 72s is approx a 16% or 17% favorite preflop (depending if one of the aces is the same suit as the 72s), which means roughly 1 out of every 6 times the 72 will win. That is with all 5 cards out however, so reduced to account for the times it outflops AA, it'd probably be closer to 1 in 9 rather than 1 in 8 (that would be some low cards with straight possibilities also)... regardless it doesnt matter. 72 could win as little as 1 in every 12 times and still come out ahead and make the preflop call +EV
__________________
"Most of the money you'll win at poker comes not from the brilliance of your own play, but from the ineptitude of your opponents." |
![]() |
|
|