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Old 06-15-06, 02:54 PM
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I think I could tune that out pretty easily given the example above. There is exactly ONE (reasonable - assuming not a complete bluff) hand that I can beat, and that's a seriously overplayed QQ. I suppose you could make a case for a seriously overplayed AK as well, but with me holding two Kings, that's not likely.

Anyway, factor in the liklihood of all the hands he could be holding - and even throw in 10% for a pur bluee with 2 undercards - and the math will tell you this is a pretty easy fold. And even if it comes out marginally +EV (it won't), I'd still fold. You don't win the WSOP by taking hundreds of coinflips. You win it be being patient and CALLING your money all in as a much bigger favorite than that (obviously pushing all in is different).
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