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#1
11-12-04, 11:43 AM
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it is somewhat strange that this guy would throw that in at the end of the piece, but i think that it might actually add a little bit of credibility and real world application to it. we all know that when we are running good, we will make a couple of bad calls, and then get rewarded for it. at the same time, the opposite happens as well.
there are times when the numbers justify every move, but there are also times when you just have to go with your gut instinct, even if it isnt a profitable move in the long run. |
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#2
11-12-04, 01:04 PM
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Gut instinct
Why would I ever go with my gut instinct if it isn't a profitable move in the long run. My instinct is for getting a sense of whether the guy at the other end of the table is bluffing, or will lay down if I re-raise. I don't (or at least should ignore) any "instincts" about whether the next card will fill up my straight.
Grind, grind, grind. |
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#5
11-12-04, 05:34 PM
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I would absoulutely fold in this situation, regardless of how many prior pots I had just one since the odds for this hand are independent of those prior pots. As an example, let's say you and a friend bet $1 on the flip of a coin with you having heads and your friend having tails. In the first ten tries, it comes up heads 7 times and tails 3 times. On the 11th try, you still only have a 50-50 chance of getting a heads. So therefore, I would fold in this situation based on the odds for this particular hand.
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#6
11-12-04, 08:24 PM
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i dont believe this, i realy think poker can be a game of rushes. for example it seems like i'm always hitting my flush/straight when i had to call a big bet on a draw during my rushes. i know the numbers will disagree with me but... poker still has a big element of luck.
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#7
11-12-04, 08:49 PM
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There might be times when you catch well, but the logic that "Ive been catching well, I am going to catch my card here because of it" is absolutely faulty.
The cards have no memory, just because you HAVE been getting your lucky draws, doesnt mean you will KEEP getting them. Defendant |
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