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#2
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The TB line actually went the other way and was never a good play, my fav play is a prop. LA Dodgers and Pitt, Hits+Runs+Errors, under 28. I also have under 9.5. Low scoring game will be great. 25 units on this
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"Suffer the pain of discipline or suffer the pain of regret" "Rome wasn't built in a day" |
#3
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I'm an idiot, just realized the Dodgers have their freakin closer starting this game for some reason. Might not bet this, guess I might not even have a bet for today, not sure.
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"Suffer the pain of discipline or suffer the pain of regret" "Rome wasn't built in a day" |
#4
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Well this guys making his first major league start so who knows what the hell is going to happen. Been reading all good things about him, and he's done well so far this year, but has never started. I'm going with the bet but might just bet less.
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"Suffer the pain of discipline or suffer the pain of regret" "Rome wasn't built in a day" |
#5
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biggest bet of the year is a winner. Both the unders won and I actually bet more than 25 units on this game but that's what i posted here, so here where it doesnt even matter ill keep it. +1O overall
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"Suffer the pain of discipline or suffer the pain of regret" "Rome wasn't built in a day" |
#6
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Sunday, STL-1.5 for 15 units and my favorite: STL/CIN over 7.5, 4O units. Carpenter is great but hasn't been As great as usual so far this year. The average score of games he's pitched in this year is 12.2, and average for A Harang who we're going against is 12.8. Both teams score an average of >5 runs a game, and team ERA's add up to >8. Basically every stat from this year points to >7.5. If you look back to last year it gets scary as both pitchers dominated each others teams, but this isn't last year and I just hope theres at least some decent hitting like there should be. They pitched vs each other April 5th in a 11-6 game. Basically all these stupid stats better work out and I'm good to go.
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"Suffer the pain of discipline or suffer the pain of regret" "Rome wasn't built in a day" Last edited by JDMcNugent7; 05-02-10 at 03:19 AM. |
#8
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Have lots of accounts - by far the best are Pinnacle and Betfair. Plus all of the random ones, where you can often find a line that is "off" which can give you a +EV bet or an arb.
Getting the best odds is half the battle. Say you are able to pick the correct side 53% of the time. If you get 1.91 (-110), you will get an average return of 1.23%. Now say you use Pinnacle, where you get 1.952 (-105), you will get an average return of 3.46%. Add in the random books (mostly lower odds but if you find a free point) and Betfair, and you should be getting effective odds of say 1.98, which is close to 5%. |
#9
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ya, the best thing to do that I do for my biggest bets is to go to twoplustwo, and they have a sportsbetting thread where we all just bet each other and no juice obv. So I don't really have a problem getting good odds
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"Suffer the pain of discipline or suffer the pain of regret" "Rome wasn't built in a day" |
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