Screwing the bookies???

[skippy76]

thats why injury reports come out on wednesdays, but most bookies would b ok anyways, they only slide the odds or spread to get action to equal out...sometimes this isnt possible, but 99% of the time bookies dont try tomake money off of the action,but the juice

besides, everyone knows brady was faking hurt

[MAYHEM45]

Its alot lower than 99%, why do you think vegas is so rich? 10% juice?

[Robbie Robb]

Yeah like I said - I was sure there was something that I wasn't seeing. So if I understand Skippy correctly - injuries are reported on Wednesday and then, even if there is a miraculous recovery the person still can't play that game? If so, then yep, that right there shoots my fake-injury ploy all to hell.

[Talking Poker]

Simply explained - pick any spread you want.

If you bet $100 on the Pats and Kurn (obv) bets $100 on the Giants - with me as the bookie, of course - one of you wins, one of you loses, and I don't care. I just scoop my $10.

It's kind of like poker sites not caring who wins big pots or tourneys or whatever. They get their rake either way.

[skippy76]

injury report is updated daily, if a player is listed as out on sat, they cant play

[Robbie Robb]

Ah - thanks! Wasn't sure how the NFL handled it. (Seriously - soooo not a football person here...)

[Reel Deal]

I'm pretty sure under the scenario RR is wondering about the player would be listed as doubtful and would therefore still be eligible to play.

[skippy76]

a bookie never wants to be on the line for anything, they want as many bets to cancel out as possible... and when you think about it...something in the neighborhood of 1 billion or more will be bet on super bowl.... that 100 million in juice

[Wes]

[x] wrong

there are tons of times the line is off by how much the betting public likes one side more than the other.

[bdawg31]

This is true - but in an ideal world, if the bookie (a non-gambling bookie) had his choice, he would have the exact amount bet on both sides of a game and make a guaranteed profit on each and every game.

But, as you point out, the public will tend to bet on one side or the other of a line - so that creates the 'variance' for the bookie, which is when he has his 'good weekends' and his 'bad weekends'. I think in theory that all washes though - i.e. sometimes the public is right and sometimes its wrong.

But the bookie/sportsbooks want the bets to be equal - that is why the lines move. To try to get people to bet the other way when one side gets bet on too heavy.