CB: General theory question

[Invigilator]

this would be very read (of the player) specific I imagine. If you missed and it goes check-check, then there is another card to account for. It would be much more difficult to know where you stand in that case.

[Wes]

If you aren't good at guessing what a person's hand range is without brute force, don't use what I'm suggesting. Just realize that you are limiting yourself as a player.

[Invigilator]

I'm not rejecting the idea. I'm just saying that check calling (to bet the turn) or setting out check-raising is trickier and riskier than CBing in terms of long term positive value.

[Wes]

You mean variance, not long term value.

[Invigilator]

So are you saying that the long term value is still good, but the swings will be bigger along the way with the riskier play?

(if not clarify the two terms for me)

[Wes]

When using the term "riskier", don't equate it to long term value since long term value all equals out thus making risk a trivial item since it is short term variance.