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#1
03-13-07, 10:40 AM
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I am guessing he is referring to
I reread it...scratch my first guess, I am (now) sure his friend was *mcb13100* and he is wondering(upset) as to how joos hand held up. Last edited by bunny; 03-13-07 at 10:44 AM. |
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#2
03-13-07, 11:00 AM
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Yeah, b/c after the flop the guy had a gazillion outs. Any jack (3), any ten (3), any king (4), any 8 (4) and any club (7). That's 21 outs with 2 cards to come making mcb a 71% favorite after the flop.
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GO GREEN!!! GO WHITE!!! |
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#3
03-13-07, 12:59 PM
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Regardless of who is friends with whom..... Dude A got short stacked and pushed in with an Ace UTG. Looks reasonable to me. Dude B called Dude A's all in with JTs. He was last to act and had to call 1077 to win a pot of 1377, giving him not exactly great odds.
If he felt like gambling, sure, gamble, I guess. And against Dude A's range, he's probably in pretty decent shape. I don't hate the call, but I don't love it either. |
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#4
03-14-07, 02:30 PM
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I should've clarified. Joosseus is the friend I was referring to. Marky Mark, er, Reel Deal explained exactly what I was talking about. The A high held which was cool. It's not often you see somebody with 21outs twice completely miss. If I'm not mistaken I think mcb was more than 71% favorite on flop, closer to 82%, yes?
Last edited by Gordogg; 03-14-07 at 02:36 PM. |
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#6
03-14-07, 03:40 PM
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Yep. I was using the method of multiplying your outs by 4 when there are two cards to come w hich would be 84%. I know it's not an exact method but usually comes within 4% or so of the real odds. I wonder why there is such a big difference this time? Math wizards out there?
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#7
03-14-07, 04:16 PM
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The Ace redraw if Hero hit one of his 6 pair outs, I assume.
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