Interesting question, especially because of all of the related topics it brings up. And if two players play any “significant” (defined how?) number of hands, how far a delta can there really be between the 1 and 100 on your luck scale? I mean in theory, if we should all be at exactly 50 over the long (defined how?) term, right?
I’m going to put myself at 68%. At the tables, I’d say it is only 53%, but I’m going to factor in the convenience factor of me being able to play on my way home from work on any given night, being in a financial position to afford the swings, a patient wife, etc.
Note: There’s also a large Quads or better jackpot at my local room. It’s been as high as $20K at one point for a royal, but usually is around $5k or so. If I hit this (maybe even tonight!) I’ll adjust this percentage way up
. But if I happen to hit a royal in a home game and get nothing (like the last and only time I got one, when I was rewarded with a dining credit to the Imperial Palace restaurant of my choice
), I’m cutting that percentage in half.