One hockey game as well as MNF

[Penguinfan]

NY Rangers -125 over the Fla Panthers

If your book allows you to lay -1.5 goals and get a better Juice line I would even go that far, my book doesn't so I'm laying the -125 and just looking for a win here.

[omahilo]

whats the MNF... rams +13.5 pts?

[GeoffM]

Funny, I kind of like the Panthers in this one.

[Penguinfan]

I got them at +14, but would still play at +13.5

GL

[omahilo]

Peng... would you do Rangers -1.5 goals or -128 (what I got)?

I trust your advice on betting so I want to put some money on this game as well.

[Penguinfan]

I'm certainally not going to win every game I post here, just trying to be on the right side more often than not.

Florida hasn't scored more than 3 goals in any game this season, it's gonna take more than that to beat the Rangers tonight. Rangers have scored 9 in their last two games while giving up only 1 goal in each game.

I would give the edge to Florida's defense but it won't be enough to win this one on the road with NYR playing it's 3rd home game in a row.

Tough spot for Florida.

[Penguinfan]

Depending on what line you can get with the -1.5, it better be around +220 or so, which makes it a very attractive wager. -128 is safer obviously, but I just think this is a horrible spot of the Panthers to try and get a win.

[omahilo]

I got +225 with the -1.5 goals...

[Penguinfan]

+225 is great. I would take this bet at that price because if we win by two goals once every two tries we still make 12.5% profit and I think in this exact spot we win by two at least once for every two tries, in poker terms +EV

[omahilo]

cool thanks man... got half a unit on -1.5 goals and rams +13.5

gl us.

[omahilo]

1-0 NYR after 1 period... rangers dominating the action so far.

Rangers had 17 SOG in the 1st period and it didnt look like they were going to score then the brick wall Luongo finally gives up a goal.

Rangers start the 2nd period on power play... go rangers!

[JDMcNugent7]

Penguin man this is really cool- I had No Clue there was so much strategy and actual long term profit and EV and all that in sports betting- (much like many people have no idea theres so much skill and strategy involved in poker) - It really is cool to learn all this stuff - keep it coming.

[omahilo]

4-0 RANGERS BABY!!! Jagr goes off for 2 goals in the 2nd period along with another PP goal.

Luongo is wore down after about 40 SOG in the game.

FLA also went 10 minutes without a SOG so this thing is all but over... unless the rangers have a complete meltdown.

[omahilo]

10-0 Rams in the 1st... Rangers still holding strong at 4-0 with 5 minutes left.

[omahilo]

and the rangers finished off FLA... and I made some nice scratch off this one.

Gotta thank Penguin for this one.

Time for the rams to cash in as well.