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  #26  
Old 09-25-08, 01:54 AM
GTDawg GTDawg is offline
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You guys should see the spread on the presidential election between Betfair and, I think, Intrade.

A single trader keeps screwing up the Obama winning percentage every several hours at Intrade leading to a crazy gap in election predictions.
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  #27  
Old 09-25-08, 12:47 PM
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Seems like this should be exploitable, betting at Betfair when the line is screwed up and hedging at other sites.

FWIW, I put $50 on Obama at 4:1 in January, 2007. Oh, strike that... that was just for him to be the Democratic nomination! Already won that one...
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  #28  
Old 09-26-08, 10:52 PM
sjay2k sjay2k is offline
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Tip: AFL (Sep 27) -- Geelong -15.5 v Hawthorn, bet $200 at 1.93

Put this spread bet on a couple of days ago, just putting it up here before the game starts.
  #29  
Old 09-27-08, 02:46 PM
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I need some football (American) locks Whacha guys thinking?
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  #30  
Old 09-28-08, 12:06 AM
sjay2k sjay2k is offline
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Result: -$400

Overall: +$13,727
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