NFL Week 8

[Reel Deal]

The NFL is just too unpredictable this year. I mean how do you explain a team like the Jaguars who beat the Jets 41-0 one week, get worked by a horrible Texans team the next and then go to Philly and shut down one of the league's best offenses and win their first game of the year on the road at that place???? No more NFL bets for me.

[omahilo]

Thats why Im 60%+ in betting college while Im LUCKY to be at 40% for the NFL. I want to bet just college but like to have NFL action riding, which ends up costing me.

[Zybomb]

By far College FB is my biggest winner with College BB close behind

I find that Im A decent size winner in those two, a slight winner in NBA , break even in NFL and a loser in MLB

[omahilo]

I dont bet the NBA or college BB enough to tell you if Im a loser or not... I just bet a few games here and there as I see a good chance to win, not a huge bettor of either sport.

[Penguinfan]

OK, but there is something very valuable to be learned here. Yea, -6 units in a day is a bloodletting, trust me I know this, however, in an earlier post in this thread you said you made those picks with ZERO handincapping at all, just being Joe Public and looking at the board.

This should easily dismiss the idea that Vegas wants equal action on both sides of a game to ensure a profit, they let you look at the board and sway you to one side with these numbers, honestly.

I'm not saying to go so far as to fade yourself, but look at the board and find the play that looks the easiest, one that looks like Vegas is giving away money and no matter how difficult it is try to handicap the game looking for a reason to go with the other side. You may never find that reason and in fact it may just be an easy play for you for some reason, but give the other side a solid look first.

[omahilo]

I agree with this... I really should of did this with the SD/STL game. I usually do but for some reason I just jumped on STL without really thinking about it and it costed me.

[Talking Poker]

That's excellent advice.

[jillaj]

NFL has always been the most difficult for me to win at. I normally only bet the first 5 or 6 weeks and then whatever it is that makes me like a game can never find a "sure" thing. I find college fb to be easier at the beggining of the year as well, but there are still a few games that I can pick out. I guess that could be due to the amount of games that college offers compared to the NFL.