NFL Week 3

[Kurn]

Week 3 is always strange, as it is too easy to jump to inaccurate conclusions from just 2 games. Nevertheless here we go:

Wash -4 1/2 @ StL

I don't know whether I'm 100% sold on the 'Skins. The defense is way too blitz-happy for one thing. With more conservative play late, they would be 2-0.
That being said, the Rams are not the Texans, so we'll give McNabb a shot.

GB -3 @ CHI Monday night

I still don't buy the Bears. Their O-line is still going to put Cutler at risk too often and the Pack's offensive productivity is better than anything the Bears have faced so far.

I was tempted to take the Falcons +3 at NO. Atlanta has the best DPR* in the league and week 3 is usually where Super Bowl champs show some letdown, but I changed my mind basically because I think that would be jumping to a conclusion due to stats based on only 2 weeks. We'll see.

SUICIDE

New England.

In normal betting, I never bet on or against the Pats, preferring to watch their games as a fan, but this is different. 15-1 in their last 16 against OJ's old team, back at home after a tough loss. Seems a no brainer. I was torn between the Pats and the Vikes here, but I chose the Pats because unlike Minnesota, the weakness of the local team here is NOT the QB.

Edit: Just looked at who has what this week in the suicide pool. 20 people have the Ravens. Go Browns!!

* - DPR = Defensive Passer rating. For this and more unfamiliar stats, see coldhardfootballfacts.com