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Old 08-13-05, 05:01 PM
PShabi PShabi is offline
MC Adam Yauch
 

Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 6,947
PShabi has between 2500 and 2999 Rep PointsPShabi has between 2500 and 2999 Rep PointsPShabi has between 2500 and 2999 Rep PointsPShabi has between 2500 and 2999 Rep PointsPShabi has between 2500 and 2999 Rep PointsPShabi has between 2500 and 2999 Rep PointsPShabi has between 2500 and 2999 Rep PointsPShabi has between 2500 and 2999 Rep PointsPShabi has between 2500 and 2999 Rep PointsPShabi has between 2500 and 2999 Rep PointsPShabi has between 2500 and 2999 Rep Points
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Okay, 99 on a 632 flop is an overpair, not middle pair.

When you check to him on the river, he's betting, not raising.

Now, the first thing I ask myself on every street of every hand is how big is the pot.

So, let's say you have 99 in MP here. You raised preflop, got 3-bet and called. 7 small bets if blinds fold out. You bet the flop, get raised, you reraise, he calls. 13 small bets. Take the rake and you conver it to 6 big bets.

Now on the turn 2 more BBs go in for 8BB. Ace hits on river, you check and he bets giving you 9 to 1 on the river.

Now, you only need to be "good" 1 out of 9 times to break even. I think in this situation you can expect to win a good deal more than 1 out of 9 times.

Call and if you lose, just know that the play will make you money over the long run.

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