Because after a raise and a reaise (that will cost you all your chips) you have to put your opponent on the following hands.: Any pair, AK,AQs,AJs,A10s (the ace jack and ace 10 are being very generous and only because it was the chip leader so he may be trying to bully the table with a good but not great hand.) So you figure you are at a significant disadvantage if they hold AA,KK,QQ or AK. And you are a flip if they hold any of the 10 pairs 22-JJ. You are at a chop pot if they hold AQ, and you are at an advantage if they tried to bully with AJ or A10. So pretty much theres 17 possible hands (some much less realistic) that your reraiser could hold, 4 of them dominate you, 10 are a flip, 1 you tie with and 2 you have beat....knowing those #s would you still call? Keep in the mind the % of him having a hand that you do have beat are extremely low. Add ontop that you dont know what anyone else is going to do (or what they hold...and if they call they are certainly a favorite over you, as they must have a high pair or AKs at minimum (even that would probably be thrown away) and you also dont know what the original raiser is going to do....with all that said, its a definate lay down
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03-02-05, 02:36 PM
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