How (un)lucky were you in 2007?

[Talking Poker]

Everyone thinks they are unlucky in poker, but very few can actually prove it. So I think it's time to break out the graphs for 2007.

Download, install, run:


This program is not perfect and it can't take into account everything - like getting lots of second best hands and other "unlucky" things that can cost you money. But it's spot on for calculating how you did in all in situations vs. how you should have expected to do.

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The software is easy to use, but here are some quick instructions for those of you who are computer illiterate and like things spelled out for you:

1. On the database Tab, select the PT db(s) where you keep your stats.
2. Clhoose "Since January 1, 2007" (or whatever you feel like).
3. Click on Load hands. This will take a long time, especially if you played a lot of hands, but it will work for most everyone. I had 125k hands in my db, and it took a while, but it finished no problem.
4. After the hands have been loaded, click on "Start" at the top. This generates all the goodies.
5. Now go thorugh each tab and play with whatever you like. USe Print Screen to take screenshots and upload them here as attachments as you see fit.
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Back to my numbers.... 125k hands played. I know there are people who play that many in a month, but that's good for me, averaging about 10k hands per month. I'd definitely like to increase that for 2008.

Without posting specific graphs (not sure I want to share exact numbers), I will tell you that my "Game Analysis" graph says I should have won (Sklansky Bucks) about $15,000 more than I did in 2007. Yeah, that stings.

My all in luck graph wasn't THAT far off from expectations (only about $2000 by year's end (there are some hands from 2008 included in the graph)), but it confirms that I really was running badly those couple of times this year when I knew I was running really badly. Late January was bad, but April 2007 = Worst Month EVER. Also, 2007 started off with me running ridiculously well, and I was well aware of that at the time.

I'll attach my "Net Run Line" for my "Just All Ins" from the "Luck Graph" tab.

OK, I showed you mine - now let's see yours.