Variance...

[JDMcNugent7]

I was thinking about variance and how it relates to poker. I understand and have experienced short term variance many times, and know it is very real, but I think that in normal online situations, there is less long term variance than most players claim.

I think it's getting to be an all too common excuse and an easy term for players to blame their losses on. Therefore it's getting overused. Kinda like how everyone loves to claim they have ADD now as an excuse to be dumb, or not pay any attention. Some people actually have it, but most the time it's just an excuse for people who can't be honest with themselves and work hard, just like claiming variance in poker.

Of course, the better players have a greater edge over their average opponent, and therefore will experience less variance, and the worse players will experience a greater amount of variance since they will consistently make plays with a smaller positive expected value.

I'm sure Bdawg will disagree, but does this make sense? Anyone think I just run good and havent experienced any real variance yet ?