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Old 11-09-05, 02:26 AM
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Talking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep Points
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See... that's just it. 5600+ players. I think it's just a matter of mathematics that SOMEONE is going to get extremely lucky and get much farther than they deserved (to the final 15, for example).

This isn't a very good example, but it should illustrate my point: Say we line up 5600 people and make the flip coins in pairs to see who would be eliminated. After one flip, 2800 people would eliminated. After 2 flips, we'd be down to 1400 people. And so on:

3 - 700
4 - 350
5 - 175
6 - 88
7 - 44
8 - 22
9 - 11

I'll stop there. To make the final 11 players in this event, someone would need to win NINE straight coinflips! Go ahead and grab a coin and tell me how long it takes you to flip heads nine times in a row. It's not easy, but as I just illustrated, starting with 5600 players, ELEVEN of them were going to pull it off (without even once flipping tails and starting over, I might add).

This, my friends, is how I explain how Tiffany Williamson got so deep. With a field that large, SOMEONE was bound to get extremely lucky... and she was that someone.
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