I think you're missing the most important trend.
OBP
2002: .370
2003: .363
2004: .333
On base percentage is probably the most important offensive stat and Finley's has been steadily declining, and this year even his BA and SLG% showed signs of dropping off. His decreasing walk rate, which probably has the most predictive value of any of these stats, is also not a promising sign.
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