Very good post, espeically about the quality of players at the 2nd table for the DS...when thinking EV vs the big tourny I have a few Q's though.
I think the first table (from my experience) is AWFUL...generally with 2 MAYBE 3 good players (including myself). I'd say I should be able to win one in 3 times at least.
Now say I win the final table 1 in 6 times like you suggested (a decent possibility IMO) that means I'd need to play 18 total times to win (assuming I win on the 6th at the 2nd table and the first table thing works out the long way also). BUT 5 out of those 18 I get my money back for making it to the final table. And one I win. So there will be 12 times that I lose money 160 x 12 = 1920
1920 (cant find the divided symbol on the cpu) 650 = just under 3
If I can only manage to 'guarentee' a Win at a SNG with poor players (table 1) 1 out of 3 times, can I 'guarentee' a placing at one of these MTTs 1 out of 3 times? (I don't know, Im asking)
The next thing is if I cant guarentee those #s, does it become worth it to hit some of these cheap sattys to get into the big MTT overall
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"Most of the money you'll win at poker comes not from the brilliance of your own play, but from the ineptitude of your opponents."
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